Just as quick as the boys at the Press Gazette say it’s a real possibility the Green Bay Packers will use the franchise tag on quarterback Matt Flynn, Jason Wilde turns around and says it isn’t going to happen.
Wilde actually used the term “unlikely.”
In other words, no one knows what the hell they’re talking about when it comes to Flynn and his impending free agency.
Now, just to be clear, we take “a real possibility” to mean something that is likely to happen. We take “unlikely” to mean something that probably isn’t going to happen. Obviously, both of these shepherds of quality journalism left the door open for the opposite to occur. So, what do we know?
We know the Packers aren’t revealing anything and these possibilities are based solely on the feeling of the writers, which brings us back to our initial point. It’s apparent no one knows anything.
In the latest report on Flynn, Wilde uses the following rationale to determine Flynn probably won’t be tagged, even through GM Ted Thompson has tagged and traded two players previously (Joey Galloway while with Seattle and Corey Williams in Green Bay).
- Tagging and trading a player is “frowned upon” by the NFL and “the Packers don’t do business that way.”
- A handshake agreement with another club before trades are allowed is unlikely because Thompson “doesn’t bend the rules.”
- Flynn would be guaranteed $6 million more than starter Aaron Rodgers in 2012 if all trade options fell through and the Packers had to keep him.
- Thompson said, “I think if you tender someone, it’s a tender. It’s not, ‘Let’s trade you.’”
So there you go. Clear as mud, once again.
As you surely know by now, if the Packers tagged Flynn he’d be guaranteed $14.5 million in 2012. They would presumably only do so with an eye on trading him. There’s a market for Flynn’s services, whether he’s on the trade or free agent market, that is likely to include three or four teams. Miami and Cleveland are the leading candidates for Flynn’s services and the Packers should be able to net a second-round pick if they traded him.
Alternatively, if they let him walk as a free agent, the team can only gain a compensatory pick in 2013. The highest such pick would come at the end of the third round.
We’ve outlined the advantages of tagging and trading Flynn, but since no one has any idea what’s going to happen we’re just going to sit back and wait.
Expect more galleries of chicks.